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Posted 2012-09-19, 07:05 AM in reply to KagomJack's post starting "Truly these people are shining beacons..."
Bayesian estimates of the latest Rasmussen, Survey USA and Quinnipiac poll results seem to show a 99.6% chance for Obama to win the presidential election, even if the voting trends are strongly Republican:

http://electionanalytics.cs.illinois.edu
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